The rain of Palestinian rockets which fell on Israeli cities on May 12, 2021, will be a milestone in the history of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict by its strong symbolic charge and its intensity, confirming without a doubt the centrality of the Palestinian question. in the geopolitics of the Middle East, demonstrating in passing that the Israeli sky has become a sieve in front of home-made rockets, placing the Sunni Arab leadership at odds in the wake of its collective crawling before the Hebrew state.

  • The centrality of Palestine back in the geopolitics of the Middle East.
  • The Israeli sky, a colander; Arab kings are naked.
  • Hamas signs its return by the front door in the camp of the axis of the contest to the Israeli-American hegemony.
  • Israel’s viability in question

Four months after the end of the mandate of xenophobic American President Donald Trump – who, with the help of his philosopher-in-law Jared Kushner, had worked to bury the Palestinian question with great fanfare, through a series of unilateral measures that were illegal under the law international (recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, transfer of the American embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, recognition of the annexation of the Syrian Golan) – the Israeli-Palestinian outbreak has brought this conflict back to the fore, while Benyamin Netanyahu, trapped by his electoral escalation to escape his corruption charge, is forced to flee forward in an escalation of violence.

Significantly, the Palestinian response was ensured by Hamas from the Gaza enclave, accentuating the discrediting of Mahmoud Abbas, president of the Palestinian Authority, by translating into acts, in facts, on the ground, the promotion of Hamas in the rank of defender of the Palestinians.

Hamas’s engagement in the battle signals the return of a Sunni formation, the only Sunni formation, in the fight for Palestine, which it had deserted under the presidency of Khaled Mecha’al, by joining the coalition Islamo-Atlanticist in the war against Syria.
In an underlying way, it marks in a striking way the return by the main door of Hamas in the bosom of the anti-NATO axis. Hamas had indeed claimed its autonomy from the Brotherhood of the Muslim Brotherhood and joined “Mihawar Ad Douwal Al Moumana’a” the axis of immunization to the virus of submission to Israeli-American hegemony, in a statement made. in December 2020 to the Lebanese newspaper Al Akhbar after an interview with Hezbollah.

The clashes of Eid Al Fitr place at odds both Morocco, president of the Al Quds Committee, for its shameful barter (recognition of Israel in exchange for recognition of Israel on Western Sahara), and Qatar, godfather the Muslim Brotherhood, for its acceptance of Israel into the regional Centcom system, headquartered in Doha; Abu Dhabi, which allows it to continue with impunity its aggression against Yemen in tandem with Saudi Arabia; Bahrain to continue the repression of its population in peace. All gathered for their collective prostration in an inconsiderate approach towards Donald Trump, at the end of his mandate.

The attack from Gaza came on May 12, on the eve of the Fitr festival, which traditionally marks the end of Ramadan, and two days before the anniversary of the unilateral proclamation of the independence of the Hebrew state.

Nearly 1,500 rockets have been fired from the Gaza Strip towards various Israeli cities since the start of the clashes, Monday, May 12, 2021.

By the IDF’s own admission, the firing of 350 rockets “failed” and “hundreds” of others were intercepted by Israel’s Iron Dome missile shield. On the other hand, this reveals that a few hundred rockets have succeeded in thwarting the Israeli ballistic defense system.

The Israeli raids left a total of 83 dead, including 17 children, and nearly 500 injured, according to Hamas. In Israel, seven people were killed, including a child and a soldier, and hundreds were injured in the rocket fire.

The outbreak of violence follows clashes on the esplanade of the Al Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem, Islam’s third holiest site, illegally occupied and annexed by Israel, under international law.

France: A symptomatic tetany with regard to the Jewish fact due to the Nazi collaboration.

The arrest of the President of the France Palestine Solidarity Association (AFSP), Mr. Bertrand Heilbronn, 71, on leaving the Quai d’Orsay on Wednesday, May 12, 2021, for having called for demonstrations in support of the Palestinian people, illustrates, in a symtomatic way, the tetany of the French political class in front of the Jewish fact, its fear of the Israeli lobby in France and the weight of the French guilt in the Nazi collaboration, 80 years after the French surrender.

Initiated by the Gaullist post Nicolas Sarkozy, accentuated by the social-motorist François Hollande, France’s unconditional alignment with the theses of the Israeli extreme right represented by Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu, was accentuated under Emmanuel Macron, whose the covert visit to the Palestinians was the most pitiful face of cowardice and denial.

Timorese, the French media had presented the Israeli-Palestinian clashes in front of the esplanade of the Al Aqsa Mosque as clashes between Muslims and religious Jews as to suggest a religious war between two extremist groups, and to obscure the national struggle of the Palestinian people. to its independence and especially against its decline, as well as Western connivance with regard to Israeli arbitrariness.

Even the report of the American organization “Human Rights Watch”, accusing Israel of practicing an “apartheid regime”, did not encourage the French media to come out of their reluctance.

To the point that a journalist, Dominique Vidal, former collaborator of Le Monde diplomatique, son of former resistance fighters of the Jewish faith, to publicly share his “shame” in front of these two degrading facts: the “anti-Arab pogroms of extremist Jews and the silence of the major Western media, particularly French ”.

Israel’s viability in question.

Israel’s viability arises in the face of the demographic prospects of the Palestinian population.
Israel has proceeded to four legislative elections in two years, without conclusive results, symptomatic of the confusion in which bathes what Westernists qualify as the only democracy of the Middle East ”. This political stalemate comes against a backdrop of pessimistic predictions about the viability of the Hebrew state.

A report, released in December 2016, by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) indicates that the number of people living in Gaza is expected to more than double over the next 30 years. Entitled “Palestine 2030 Demographic Changes: Opportunities for Development”, the report examines demographic changes and development opportunities across the Occupied Palestinian Territories. The Fund’s study shows that decades of occupation and dependence on foreign aid have hampered growth.

16.7 million Palestinians will live in Greater Israel as a whole by 2050. Fertility rates in the Occupied Palestinian Territories are twice as high as those in the region’s most advanced countries. This trend is expected to increase the population from 4.7 million today to 6.9 million people in 2030 and 9.5 million in 2050.
The highest rate of population growth is expected to occur in the Gaza Strip, where the report estimates that the current population of 1.85 million people is expected to increase to 3.1 million in 2030 and 4.7 million in 2050.

In Israel, the population reached, in 2019, 9,136,000 inhabitants, including 20.6% of Israeli Arabs (1,750,000 inhabitants, mainly Muslims, and a Christian minority), according to the Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics. Arab-Israelis is a borborygme which in Israeli terminology designates the Palestinians, the original inhabitants of the land of British Mandate Palestine.

West Bank (9.5 million) + Gaza (4.7 million) + Interior Palestinians (2.5 million Arab-Israelis), this would make a total of 16.7 million Palestinians living in the whole of great Israel.

Epilogue: On the military level

Since 1967, Israel has never won a military victory again. Until that date, the Jewish state waged wars against Arab government armies whose main objective was to defend the political regime of their country and not the liberation of Palestine.

Since the beginning of the twenty-first century, more exactly the year 2000 coinciding with the Israeli military withdrawal from southern Lebanon, under pressure from Hezbollah, without direct negotiations or a peace treaty, Israel has been caught in a pincer movement, in a reverse alliance. , in the north, by the Lebanese Shiite paramilitary formation, in the south in Gaza by Hamas and the Islamic Jihad, which are waging an asymmetric war there.

In superimposition, at the level of regional alliances, the United States, Israel’s major ally in the Middle East, are in a phase of ebb, while the main allies of the axis of the contestation to Israeli-American hegemony ( China, Russia, Iran) are in a phase of increasing power, in parallel with the victorious deployment of the paramilitary forces in the area: the Houthis in Yemen against Saudi Arabia; Hached al Chaabi, in Iraq against the United States; Lebanese Hezbollah, facing Israel in southern Lebanon and Sunni terrorist groups in Syria.

Such a grim picture could explain the sudden rush of four Arab countries including three monarchies (United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, Sudan) to normalize their relations with Israel in the fall of 2020, no doubt in order to avert a fatal fate. .

Hamas’ ballistic response provided proof of the porosity of the Israeli sky, exposed the nudity of the Arab Kings, at the same time as it clearly demonstrated the impossibility for Israel to found a democracy on a regime of Israel. ‘Apartheid, like the South Africa of the colonial era or the Confederate states of the southern United States of the time of the Civil War…. Case to follow

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René Naba | Journaliste, Ecrivain Français d’origine libanaise, jouissant d’une double culture franco arabe, natif d’Afrique, juriste de formation et journaliste de profession ayant opéré pendant 40 ans au Moyen Orient, en Afrique du Nord et en Europe, l’auteur dont l’expérience internationale s’articule sur trois continents (Afrique Europe Asie) a été la première personne d’origine arabe à exercer, bien avant la diversité, des responsabilités journalistiques sur le Monde arabo-musulman au sein d’une grande entreprise de presse française de dimension mondiale.